Posts Categorized: MARKET THOUGHTS

Low for Long, Right? | September 1, 2017

Low for long is the mantra we hear often. The story being that interest rates will remain lower for an abnormally long period of time. Why is that? Initially it was done to stimulate a failing economy during the recession… eight plus years ago. That was how we got there,…
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Global Turmoil | August 25, 2017

With earnings season all but over, focus has shifted from corporate profits to global concerns across emerging markets. NAFTA Relations between the US and Mexico were strained this week as NAFTA talks got underway. Additionally, market’s felt turmoil on Wednesday partly in response to a rally speech where President Trump…
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The Beginning? | August 18, 2017

The start of the week looked like a new beginning.  Geo-political tensions had calmed, equity markets surged in a big way, and the storm of the prior week looked like it had been averted. Then came Thursday… Like a boat with no rudder in the storm, markets were batted around…
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Truth About Volatility | August 11, 2017

Volatility increased slightly last week, jumping from 9.90 to 15.50. Geo-political tensions were to blame for the rise… or were they? Geo-political tensions between the US and North Korea rose to a fever pitch over the last week. A war of words ensued and the markets appeared to falter as…
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The Unemployment Dilemma | August 4, 2017

Unemployment did the Federal Reserve Board (FRB) a major favor this last week as the rate fell to the lowest level in 16 years. Did it do a favor for the market though? Unemployment The unemployment report provided optimism across the board! The participation rate ticked up to 62.9%, the…
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The Party Rages On | July 28, 2017

After 8 years of partying, the markets got news this last week that the party can continue. At the end of last year, the Federal Reserve Board (FRB) projected that they would likely raise rates 3 – 4 times in 2017. Two hikes have already come and their meeting this…
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Market Waves | July 21, 2017

Volumes are soft, price to earnings are high, and trading is quietly positive. Could all of this represent the calm before the storm. Volumes Market volumes have been fairly suppressed over the last 8 years. Trading volume of the S&P 500 are running at about 2B shares a day since…
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The Meddling Ref | July 14, 2017

In recent months, the shifting stance of the Federal Reserve Board (FRB) has caused markets to ebb and flow. The FRB is supposed to be predictable! Transparency:  That is what the FRB strives toward. The more transparent they are, the less shock waves will ripple through financial markets.  Fail. It…
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Peeling Back Unemployment | July 7, 2017

There are several aspects to the unemployment report. The headline rate rose last month–which is typically a sign of a weakening job market. Was that the case this time? Because the overall unemployment rate can be deceiving at times, let’s take a look at the components that make up the…
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Just Kidding | June 30, 2017

Economic news last week was full of information that reversed course on previous reports. Some of it was only in the news for a day before retractions began. How did the market react? European Central Bank (ECB) Probably the most notable of the ‘just kidding’ moments came after a speech…
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