Posts Categorized: MARKET THOUGHTS

ECB vs FRB

Markets received a double dose of bad news on Thursday. The reaction was bad, but the Friday bounce back was epic! Central Banks On Thursday there was news of the European Central Bank (ECB) loosen monetary policy further.  This would typically be information that would be received positively, however it…
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Really, Oil!

Oil prices fell along with the broad markets as concerns over the global economic slowdown persisted. Oil Markets were resilient a week ago Friday in response to OPEC announcing an increase in oil production. That did not prove to be the case as the week turned over and the commodity…
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FRB Gag Gift!

Apparently, the Federal Reserve Board (FRB) has a sense of humor. An interest rate hike right before the holidays… Great! FRB In a very expected move, the FRB increased the federal funds rate to a range of .25% to .50%. Ending a historic run of zero bound interest rates. As…
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Week & Year in Review

Last week was fairly uneventful with markets experiencing light trade as Christmas ended the week. Here is a review of last week’s data as well as a broad look at 2015. Not much happened in 2015: Greece defaults, Plummeting oil prices, China’s softening economy, Iran trade deal, Manufacturing entered contraction,…
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More of The Same?

Happy New Year! The markets ended the year the same way the spent most of it, with a sputter. The Christmas bump occurred, then in light trade the week following saw modest losses. US The S&P 500 lost 0.82% on the week leaving it at -0.73% for the year. The…
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2015 Hangover

The year started with a screaming market… Just screaming in the wrong direction… That screaming has left us looking for some Advil and volatility under 20. US The week began with weak data out of China and falling oil prices. The market response was decidedly bearish as the S&P 500…
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Persistent Pessimism

Week two of the year led to much of the same from week one. The sky is still falling in China and barrels of oil litter everyone’s living rooms… You get the point. There appears to be an abundance of attention at the start of the year towards a very…
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Balancing Act

Markets started the week as they had the prior 2 weeks… Plummeting oil, and continued turbulence out of China. Halfway through the week, markets turned and gave us our first back-to-back gains for 2016. US Data Data was mixed on the week[1]: Building Permits, -3.9%, down from 11% Core CPI, 2.1%…
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Et Tu, Kuroda?

Markets were buoyed on Friday by a Bank of Japan (BOJ) decision to move interest rates into negative territory. While a surprise and a signal of central banks growing aggressiveness in the face of a weakening global economy, this move should not be something that moves US markets north. The…
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The Black Dove

The strong jobs report on Friday sent the markets into a tail spin. It increased the likelihood of the Federal Reserve Board (FRB) staying the course. As the job market strengthens, it affirms the current course the FRB is on to tighten interest rates. This course is driven by the…
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