Posts Categorized: MARKET THOUGHTS

Inverse Indicators | May 18, 2018

Two main indicators of future market activity were conflicting this past week. Which indicator should we listen to? Oil prices rose during the week to $72.15 and eventually settled at $71.35. $72.15 marked the highest oil price seen since 2014. Elevated commodity prices are often a signal of the end…
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Oil, Oil, and Oil | May 11, 2018

Last week, saw a rise in S&P 500 performance. Will recent momentum evaporate as we move away from earnings season? 1st quarter earnings are projected to increase approximately 24.9%, a strong year over year increase thanks in large part to tax reform. Nearly 80% of companies are beating expectations and…
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Unemployment or Inflation? | May 4, 2018

Photo by NeONBRAND on Unsplash For much of the last decade the focus has been squarely on unemployment and this past Friday was no different… Or was it? Unemployment was released this past Friday and delighted investors with a headline rate at 3.9%. Also impressive was the fact that the U6 rate (measuring…
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The Hole in the Boat… | April 27, 2018

‘Cut taxes’ they said, ‘it will be fun’ they said, nobody told them it could crash the bond market… Tax reform is providing us some much-needed respite from the volatility created by inflation concerns and tariff talk. As we go through the corporate earnings season, 53% of companies have reported…
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The Calm After the Storm | April 20, 2018

Photo by grafixart grafixart_photo on Unsplash Equity prices have stabilized as corporate earnings season has gotten under way. Is it sustainable or just smoke in mirrors like a clever ad from the 60’s? Corporate earnings are barely underway, but with 17% of S&P 500 companies reporting, earnings are projecting at a rate of…
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Rising Tides | April 13, 2018

The markets continued their volatile ways last week, but the S&P managed to muster a 1.99% increase. What caused the tide to change? Trade this It may be a bit premature to say that trade tensions with China are easing, however the markets welcomed a week where tensions did not…
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Tweeting Tariff Tantrum

Last week markets continued their rollercoaster ride over trade. Negotiations-vs-Trade War, which is it? Monday The week opened with China retaliating to the US metal’s tariff. $3B in US goods will be tariffed, with an emphasis on US Agriculture–an attempt to target a dependent US industry as steel is counter…
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Taking Aim at Tech | March 29, 2018

Recently tech has been in focus and this held true last week as well. It resulted in the NASDAQ lagging the rest of the major averages, but what does it mean going forward? Two weeks ago, the focus was squarely on the shoulders of Facebook (-7.20% in the last 2…
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Faceplant | March 23, 2018

Facebook caused chaos on the Markets early in the week, followed by a rate hike, and tariff talk closed out the week. What does it all mean to the outlook for US equities? At the opening of the week, Facebook (FB) was the center of attention. It lost 13.88% as…
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Trade Wars: Episode 764 | March 16, 2018

Markets retreated last week as volatility has continued to be the theme. Will trade wars continue to dominate the market landscape? The current environment is fraught with uncertainty and the markets do not tend to respond well to that. They loved tax reform, for example, as it increased margins for…
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