Posts Categorized: MARKET THOUGHTS

Truth About Volatility | August 11, 2017

Volatility increased slightly last week, jumping from 9.90 to 15.50. Geo-political tensions were to blame for the rise… or were they? Geo-political tensions between the US and North Korea rose to a fever pitch over the last week. A war of words ensued and the markets appeared to falter as…
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The Unemployment Dilemma | August 4, 2017

Unemployment did the Federal Reserve Board (FRB) a major favor this last week as the rate fell to the lowest level in 16 years. Did it do a favor for the market though? Unemployment The unemployment report provided optimism across the board! The participation rate ticked up to 62.9%, the…
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The Party Rages On | July 28, 2017

After 8 years of partying, the markets got news this last week that the party can continue. At the end of last year, the Federal Reserve Board (FRB) projected that they would likely raise rates 3 – 4 times in 2017. Two hikes have already come and their meeting this…
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Market Waves | July 21, 2017

Volumes are soft, price to earnings are high, and trading is quietly positive. Could all of this represent the calm before the storm. Volumes Market volumes have been fairly suppressed over the last 8 years. Trading volume of the S&P 500 are running at about 2B shares a day since…
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The Meddling Ref | July 14, 2017

In recent months, the shifting stance of the Federal Reserve Board (FRB) has caused markets to ebb and flow. The FRB is supposed to be predictable! Transparency:  That is what the FRB strives toward. The more transparent they are, the less shock waves will ripple through financial markets.  Fail. It…
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Peeling Back Unemployment | July 7, 2017

There are several aspects to the unemployment report. The headline rate rose last month–which is typically a sign of a weakening job market. Was that the case this time? Because the overall unemployment rate can be deceiving at times, let’s take a look at the components that make up the…
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Just Kidding | June 30, 2017

Economic news last week was full of information that reversed course on previous reports. Some of it was only in the news for a day before retractions began. How did the market react? European Central Bank (ECB) Probably the most notable of the ‘just kidding’ moments came after a speech…
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China on the Rise | June 23, 2017

China has been continually denied admission into the MSCI Emerging Markets (EM) Index. Last week that changed. Will this spell doom and gloom or prosperity to the China stock market? The MSCI index has denied access over the last three years out of concerns that many of China’s market policies…
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2 Keys to Disinflation | June 16, 2017

Recently, concerns have risen that disinflation could indicate that our economy is losing steam. 1) What is disinflation and 2) Why does it present a risk to our economy? What is disinflation? Disinflation occurs when inflation figures moderate. Prices are still increasing, but at a continued slower rate than in…
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Trouble in the Water! | June 9, 2017

Since the beginning of the year, markets have screamed ahead leaving many to wonder how long it can continue at this pace. Did a warning sign make itself apparent last week? Year to date (YTD) through June 9th the S&P 500 has grown by 8.62%. First quarter earnings were strong,…
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