08|08|2022

Leading Indicator Watch | August 5, 2022

Highlights from the August 5, 2022 Leading Indicator Watch: Nonfarm Payrolls (Jul) added 528k jobs compared to an estimated 250k. Unemployment rate fell to a pre-pandemic low, 3.5%, supporting...

08|01|2022

Leading Indicator Watch | July 29, 2022

Highlights from the July 29th Leading Indicator Watch: GDP (QoQ)(Q2) fell again by -.9%, indicating slowing growth in the US. The NBER, however, uses other factors in ultimately determining...

07|25|2022

Leading Indicator Watch | July 22, 2022

Highlights from the July 22nd Leading Indicator Watch: Existing home sales continued their slide for a 5th consecutive month, falling -5.4% (Jun). Housing starts also fell -2% (Jun) on...

07|18|2022

Leading Indicator Watch | July 15, 2022

Highlights from the July 15th Leading Indicator Watch: Core Retail Sales (MoM)(Jun) exceeded expectations, rising 1% instead of .6% (expected). This was a positive sign even with increasing price...

07|11|2022

Leading Indicator Watch | July 8, 2022

Highlights from the July 8th Leading Indicator Watch: The S&P 500 rose 74.06 points, ending at 3,899.39 and is down 18.19% YTD. The VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) fell to...

07|05|2022

Leading Indicator Watch | July 1, 2022

Highlights from the July 1st Leading Indicator Watch: Continuing Jobless claims fell to 1,328k from 1,331k while Initial jobless claims fell to 231k from 233k. Be sure to check...

06|27|2022

Leading Indicator Watch | June 24, 2022

Highlights from the June 24th Leading Indicator Watch: The S&P 500 rose by 236.90 points, ending at 3,911.74 and is down 17.93% YTD (out of bear market territory). The...

06|21|2022

Leading Indicator Watch | June 17, 2022

Highlights from the June 17th Leading Indicator Watch: Retail Sales (MoM)(May) fell -.3%, confirming inflation’s impact on discretionary spending (includes auto purchases). Core Retail rose .5% but was below expectations....

06|13|2022

Leading Indicator Watch | June 10, 2022

Highlights from the June 10th Leading Indicator Watch: The Consumer Price Index (YoY)(May) ticked higher to 8.6% from 8.3%, sparking market selloffs. Core CPI (YoY) (May), which excludes energy...

06|06|2022

Leading Indicator Watch | June 3, 2022

Highlights from the June 3rd Leading Indicator Watch: Continuing Jobless claims fell to 1,309k from 1,343k and initial jobless claims fell to 200k from 211k. JOLTs Job Openings (Apr)...