10|07|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | October 4, 2024

Unemployment: Nonfarm payrolls (September) forecast was estimated at 159K, but actual numbers came in at 254K, the highest since April. The unemployment rate (Sep) decreased from 4.2% in August to...

09|30|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | September 27, 2024

Consumer Goods & Materials: The core PCE price index (less food and energy) rose 0.1% (MoM (Aug), which was slightly lower than expected. Year-over-year, the index rose 2.7% (Aug)....

09|23|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | September 20, 2024

Consumer Goods & Materials: Retail sales ticked up 0.1% (MoM) (Aug), beating expectations and continuing the positive momentum from previous months.  Be sure to check out more of last...

09|16|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | September 13, 2024

Consumer Goods & Materials: The Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) (YoY) (Aug) rose 3.2%. CPI (YoY) (Aug) increased 2.5%, the lowest level for headline inflation since March of 2021....

09|09|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | September 6, 2024

Unemployment: The labor market showed signs of softening this week. JOLTS Job Openings (Jul) fell to 7.673M, the fewest since April of 2021. Nonfarm Payrolls added 142k jobs, lower than...

09|03|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | August 30, 2024

Consumer Goods & Materials: The PCE Price index (YoY) (Jul) stayed steady at 2.5%, and Core PCE (YoY) (Jul) also remained unchanged at 2.6%. Both numbers came in just...

08|26|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | August 23, 2024

S&P 500: The S&P 500 rose 80.35 points, closing at 5,634.61 (up 18.13% YTD), largely helped by the Federal Reserve speech on Friday. Market volatility, as measured by The...

08|19|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | August 16, 2024

Retail Sales: Retail Sales (MoM)(Jul) increased 1.0%, beating expectations with the largest monthly increase since February of 2023. This indicates consumer spending and overall economic activity are currently on...

08|05|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | August 2, 2024

Jobs data jolted markets on Friday with the Nonfarm Payrolls (Jul) falling well short of forecasts. Only 114k jobs were added compared to an estimated 176k. The unemployment rate...