07|22|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | July 19, 2024
Our leading indicators this week focused on the S&P 500: The S&P 500 fell by 110.35 points, closing at 5,505.00 (up 15.41% YTD). Market volatility as measured by The...
07|15|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | July 12, 2024
Consumer Goods & Materials: The Consumer Price Index (CPI)(MoM)(Jun) fell 0.1%, the first decline since June 2020. From the consumer’s perspective, prices of goods and services appear to be...
07|08|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | July 5, 2024
Manufacturing & Services: ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Services)(Jun) fell to 48.8 from 53.8 (May), the lowest number since March of 2020. More data may be needed to reveal if this...
06|24|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | June 21, 2024
Retail Sales: Core retail sales (excluding automobiles) softened (May) (MoM), to -0.1%, missing the forecasted number of 0.2%. Consumer spending activity will be top of mind as we head...
06|17|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | June 14, 2024
Consumer Goods & Materials: Core CPI (Consumer Price Index) (inflation excluding food and energy costs), which measures the change in consumer prices, increased .2%, which was lower than expected...
06|10|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | June 7, 2024
Unemployment: Nonfarm Payrolls (May) forecast was estimated at 182k, but actual numbers came in at 272k. The Federal Reserve bank meets this week, and this data will likely impact...
06|03|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | May 31, 2024
The money supply, including time deposits, rose $26B to $20.867T (Apr) which reflects cash accumulating in money market funds with their attractive yields. Money supply is running 73.8% of...
05|28|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | May 24, 2024
Michigan Consumer Sentiment confirmed it has weakened markedly following a robust 1st Quarter 2024 with the gauge dropping to 69.1 (May) from 77.2 (Apr). Be sure to check out...
05|20|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | May 17, 2024
Retail Sales (MoM)(Apr) came in flat, which was lower than forecasts of an increase of .4%. The data indicates a slowing in consumer spending. Credit card balances outstanding (Q1...