12|22|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | December 19, 2025
Unemployment: Jobs data took center stage last week with the release of both October and November Nonfarm Payroll reports. Payrolls fell by 105K (Oct), then rebounded modestly with a...
12|15|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | December 12, 2025
Unemployment: Jobs data were mixed last week. Initial Jobless Claims jumped from 192K to 236K. Continuing Jobless Claims dropped from 1,937K to 1,838K. JOLTS Job Openings inched higher, increasing...
12|08|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | December 5, 2025
Manufacturing & Services: ISM Manufacturing PMI slipped from 48.7 (Oct) to 48.2 (Nov), marking a ninth straight month of contraction. Meanwhile, Services PMI inched up from 52.4 to 52.6,...
12|01|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | November 28, 2025
Retail Sales: The delayed September Retail Sales report showed an increase of only 0.2% (MoM), which was less than expected following a 0.6% rise in August. It is the...
11|24|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | November 21, 2025
Unemployment: Jobs data were mixed last week, with the delayed release of the September report yielding an increase in Nonfarm Payrolls from -4K (Aug) to 119K (Sep). The Unemployment...
11|17|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | November 14, 2025
S&P 500: The S&P 500 rose 5.31 points this week, closing at 6,734.11 (up 14.49% YTD). The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) held steady at 21.2. Overall market performance was...
11|10|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | Nov. 7, 2025
Indicators show ISM Manufacturing PMI fell from 49.1 (Sep) to 48.7 (Oct) contracting for the eighth consecutive month while Non-Manufacturing (Services) PMI climbed from 50.0 (Sep) to 52.4 (Oct)....
11|03|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | October 31, 2025
Consumer Confidence: Conference Board (CB) Consumer Confidence fell for the third consecutive month, decreasing from 95.6 (Sep) to 94.6 (Oct). Will consumers’ behavior reflect their sentiment, or will spending...
10|27|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | October 24, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Inflation pressures eased slightly in September as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.3%, below the 0.4% forecast. The annual inflation rate ticked up to...
10|20|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | October 17, 2025
Yield Curve: The yield curve steepened slightly this week. The 2-year Treasury slipped from 3.52% to 3.46%, while the benchmark 10-year eased from 4.05% to 4.02%, marking its lowest...