10|06|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | October 3, 2025
Unemployment: Jobs data were incomplete this week due to the government shutdown. The Nonfarm payrolls report (Sep) wasn’t released on Friday as the result of impacts at Bureau of...
09|29|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | September 26, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index (PCE) rose 0.2% (MoM)(Aug), matching expectations. On a year-over-year basis, inflation held steady at 2.9% (Aug). The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge...
09|22|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | September 19, 2025
Retail Sales: Retail Sales were up 0.6% (MoM)(Aug), increasing for the third consecutive month and better than expected. It is the foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for...
09|16|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | Septemeber 12, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% (MoM)(Aug), higher than expected. The annual measure ticked up from 2.7% (Jul) to 2.9% (Aug). Producer Price Index (PPI)...
09|08|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | September 5, 2025
Unemployment: Jobs were front and center this week, with several indicators pointing to a softer labor market. Nonfarm Payrolls slowed, falling from 79K (July) to 22K (Aug). JOLTS Job...
09|02|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | August 29, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index rose 0.3% (MoM)(Jul) for the 2nd month in a row. The annual measure ticked up from 2.8% (Jun) to 2.9% (Jul)....
08|25|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | August 22, 2025
Unemployment: Jobs data disappointed this week. Initial Jobless Claims rose from 224K to 235K, higher than expected. Continuing Jobless Claims also increased, climbing from 1,942K to 1,972K. Be sure...
08|18|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | August 15, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% (MoM)(Jul). The annual measure was 2.7%. Producer Price Index (PPI) climbed 0.9% (MoM)(Jul), higher than forecast. PPI measures prices...
08|11|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | August 8, 2025
Manufacturing & Services: ISM Non-Manufacturing (Services) PMI slowed, missing expectations in July. It remained in expansion territory, however, with a reading of 50.1 (Jul) compared to 50.8 in June....
08|04|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | August 1, 2025
Unemployment: Labor market data released this week came in softer than expected. Nonfarm Payrolls reported that 73K jobs were added in July, below the 106K expected. Unemployment Rate ticked...