04|27|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | April 24, 2026
Retail Sales: U.S. retail sales rose 1.7% in March (MoM), the strongest monthly increase since 2023. Excluding volatile gas, autos, and food, the measure rose by 0.6%. Retail Sales...
04|20|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | April 17, 2026
Consumer Goods & Materials: Producer Price Index (PPI) held steady in March at 0.5% (MoM), which was lower than expected. The annual measure increased 4.0%, up from February but below the forecast. PPI is a leading indicator of consumer...
04|13|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | April 10, 2026
Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.9% (MoM)(Mar), which followed a 0.3% increase in February. The annual measure increased 3.3%, up from a 2.4% reading in February. The increase is...
04|06|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | April 3, 2026
Unemployment: Jobs were front and center this week. Nonfarm Payrolls showed an increase of 178K jobs in March, which was better than expected. JOLTS job openings fell from 7.240...
03|30|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | March 27, 2026
S&P 500: The index declined for the fifth consecutive week, falling 137.63 points to close at 6,368.85 (down 6.96% YTD). The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) rose from 23.8 to...
03|23|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | March 20, 2026
Consumer Goods & Materials: Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.7% in February (MoM), higher than forecast and the top reading since last July. The annual measure increased 3.4%. PPI...
03|16|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | March 13, 2026
Housing peaked our interest this week as a positive economic indicator: Existing Home Sales rose 1.7% in February (MoM). The annualized measure increased 4.09M, up from 4.02M in January...
03|09|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | March 06, 2026
Unemployment: Jobs data were front and center this week. Nonfarm Payrolls fell by 92K in February, reversing a three-month trend of positive job creation. Unemployment Rate ticked up from...
03|02|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | February 27, 2026
Consumer Goods & Materials: Producer price index (PPI) rose 0.5% in January (MoM), up from 0.4% in December and higher than forecast. Rising wholesale prices are an early signal...
02|23|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | February 20, 2026
Consumer Goods & Materials: Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index rose 0.4% in January, up from 0.2% in December and higher than forecast. The annual measure increased 3.0%....