12|29|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | December 26, 2025

M2 Money Stock: The money supply held steady at $22.30T (Nov), now roughly 72% of current GDP. Meanwhile, advance GDP growth accelerated from 3.8% in Q2 to 4.3% in...

12|01|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | November 28, 2025

Retail Sales: The delayed September Retail Sales report showed an increase of only 0.2% (MoM), which was less than expected following a 0.6% rise in August. It is the...

11|04|2025

Partly Cloudy | October 31, 2025

Private sector data is guiding markets higher for now. Will markets have sufficient data for more gains as economic forecasts remain cloudy? Monday               S&P 500 1.23% | NASDAQ 1.86%...

11|03|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | October 31, 2025

Consumer Confidence: Conference Board (CB) Consumer Confidence fell for the third consecutive month, decreasing from 95.6 (Sep) to 94.6 (Oct). Will consumers’ behavior reflect their sentiment, or will spending...