10|27|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | October 24, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Inflation pressures eased slightly in September as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.3%, below the 0.4% forecast. The annual inflation rate ticked up to...
10|27|2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Inflation pressures eased slightly in September as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.3%, below the 0.4% forecast. The annual inflation rate ticked up to...
10|20|2025
Yield Curve: The yield curve steepened slightly this week. The 2-year Treasury slipped from 3.52% to 3.46%, while the benchmark 10-year eased from 4.05% to 4.02%, marking its lowest...
10|14|2025
Markets dropped this week in dramatic fashion. Will corporate earnings season allow markets to finish the year strong? Monday S&P 500 0.36% | NASDAQ 0.71% The week started off...
10|14|2025
S&P 500: With few major economic releases to guide markets, the S&P 500 slipped 163.28 points to close at 6,552.51 (up 11.41% YTD). Volatility was largely unchanged, with the...
10|06|2025
Unemployment: Jobs data were incomplete this week due to the government shutdown. The Nonfarm payrolls report (Sep) wasn’t released on Friday as the result of impacts at Bureau of...
09|29|2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index (PCE) rose 0.2% (MoM)(Aug), matching expectations. On a year-over-year basis, inflation held steady at 2.9% (Aug). The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge...
08|19|2025
Broad markets rose higher again but with notable differences from the week prior. Is there a shift in sentiment as earnings season ends? Monday S&P 500 0.25% | NASDAQ...
08|18|2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% (MoM)(Jul). The annual measure was 2.7%. Producer Price Index (PPI) climbed 0.9% (MoM)(Jul), higher than forecast. PPI measures prices...
08|04|2025
Unemployment: Labor market data released this week came in softer than expected. Nonfarm Payrolls reported that 73K jobs were added in July, below the 106K expected. Unemployment Rate ticked...
07|21|2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Prices rose, but were generally in line with expectations. Consumer Price Index (CPI) (MoM) increased by 0.3% (Jun), up from 0.1% in May. Year-over-year...