10|06|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | October 3, 2025
Unemployment: Jobs data were incomplete this week due to the government shutdown. The Nonfarm payrolls report (Sep) wasn’t released on Friday as the result of impacts at Bureau of...
09|29|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | September 26, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index (PCE) rose 0.2% (MoM)(Aug), matching expectations. On a year-over-year basis, inflation held steady at 2.9% (Aug). The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge...
09|16|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | Septemeber 12, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% (MoM)(Aug), higher than expected. The annual measure ticked up from 2.7% (Jul) to 2.9% (Aug). Producer Price Index (PPI)...
08|19|2025
Shift Ahead | August 15, 2025
Broad markets rose higher again but with notable differences from the week prior. Is there a shift in sentiment as earnings season ends? Monday S&P 500 0.25% | NASDAQ...
08|18|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | August 15, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% (MoM)(Jul). The annual measure was 2.7%. Producer Price Index (PPI) climbed 0.9% (MoM)(Jul), higher than forecast. PPI measures prices...
08|04|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | August 1, 2025
Unemployment: Labor market data released this week came in softer than expected. Nonfarm Payrolls reported that 73K jobs were added in July, below the 106K expected. Unemployment Rate ticked...
07|21|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | July 18, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Prices rose, but were generally in line with expectations. Consumer Price Index (CPI) (MoM) increased by 0.3% (Jun), up from 0.1% in May. Year-over-year...
06|30|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | June 27, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.2% (MoM)(May), with the annual reading increasing from 2.6% (Apr) to 2.7% (May). Both figures...
06|16|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | June 13, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.1% (MoM)(May), with the annual reading increasing from 2.3% (Apr) to 2.4% (May), which was better than expected. Producer Price...
06|02|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | May 30, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index settled at 2.5% (YoY)(Apr), the lowest reading since 2021 for the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation. The monthly measurement remained...