11|11|2025
One Basket | Nov. 7, 2025 | Market Thoughts
Markets fell as big earnings reports hinted at an overvalued equity market. Was this week a reminder to not have all your eggs in one basket? Monday S&P 500...
11|10|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | Nov. 7, 2025
Indicators show ISM Manufacturing PMI fell from 49.1 (Sep) to 48.7 (Oct) contracting for the eighth consecutive month while Non-Manufacturing (Services) PMI climbed from 50.0 (Sep) to 52.4 (Oct)....
10|27|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | October 24, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Inflation pressures eased slightly in September as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.3%, below the 0.4% forecast. The annual inflation rate ticked up to...
10|20|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | October 17, 2025
Yield Curve: The yield curve steepened slightly this week. The 2-year Treasury slipped from 3.52% to 3.46%, while the benchmark 10-year eased from 4.05% to 4.02%, marking its lowest...
10|14|2025
Finishing Strong | October 10, 2025
Markets dropped this week in dramatic fashion. Will corporate earnings season allow markets to finish the year strong? Monday S&P 500 0.36% | NASDAQ 0.71% The week started off...
10|14|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | October 10, 2025
S&P 500: With few major economic releases to guide markets, the S&P 500 slipped 163.28 points to close at 6,552.51 (up 11.41% YTD). Volatility was largely unchanged, with the...
10|06|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | October 3, 2025
Unemployment: Jobs data were incomplete this week due to the government shutdown. The Nonfarm payrolls report (Sep) wasn’t released on Friday as the result of impacts at Bureau of...
09|29|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | September 26, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index (PCE) rose 0.2% (MoM)(Aug), matching expectations. On a year-over-year basis, inflation held steady at 2.9% (Aug). The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge...
08|19|2025
Shift Ahead | August 15, 2025
Broad markets rose higher again but with notable differences from the week prior. Is there a shift in sentiment as earnings season ends? Monday S&P 500 0.25% | NASDAQ...
08|18|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | August 15, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% (MoM)(Jul). The annual measure was 2.7%. Producer Price Index (PPI) climbed 0.9% (MoM)(Jul), higher than forecast. PPI measures prices...