06|29|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | June 26, 2026
Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index rose 0.3% (MoM)(May). The annual measure increased 3.4%, up from 3.3% in April and the highest level since 2023. Core PCE...
06|16|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | June 12, 2026
Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.5% (MoM)(May). The annual measure increased 4.2% the highest level since 2023. Producer Price Index (PPI) climbed 1.1% (MoM)(May). The...
05|26|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | May 22, 2026
Housing and Building: Pending Home Sales rose 1.4% (MoM)(Apr). Housing Starts dropped 2.8% (MoM)(Apr). Housing Starts dropped 2.8% (MoM)(Apr), with an annualized number of 1.465m. MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate...
05|11|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | May 8, 2026
Unemployment: Jobs were front and center this week. Nonfarm Payrolls rose 115K (MoM)(Apr), for the second consecutive monthly increase. JOLTS Job Openings fell slightly from 6.922M (Feb) to 6.866M...
04|27|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | April 24, 2026
Retail Sales: U.S. retail sales rose 1.7% in March (MoM), the strongest monthly increase since 2023. Excluding volatile gas, autos, and food, the measure rose by 0.6%. Retail Sales...
03|30|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | March 27, 2026
S&P 500: The index declined for the fifth consecutive week, falling 137.63 points to close at 6,368.85 (down 6.96% YTD). The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) rose from 23.8 to...
03|16|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | March 13, 2026
Housing peaked our interest this week as a positive economic indicator: Existing Home Sales rose 1.7% in February (MoM). The annualized measure increased 4.09M, up from 4.02M in January...
02|23|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | February 20, 2026
Consumer Goods & Materials: Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index rose 0.4% in January, up from 0.2% in December and higher than forecast. The annual measure increased 3.0%....
02|10|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | February 6, 2026
Unemployment: Jobs data were front and center this week. Initial Jobless Claims jumped from 209K to 231K. Continuing Jobless Claims rose from 1,819K to 1,844K. JOLTS Job Openings dropped...
01|26|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | January 23, 2026
GDP: Economic Growth was front and center this week as Gross Domestic Product (GDP)(Q3) exceeded expectations. It rose by 4.4%, compared to the forecast of 4.3%. Be sure to...