01|27|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | January 24, 2025
S&P 500: In market news this past week, the S&P 500 rose 104.58 points, closing at 6,101.24 (up 3.73% YTD). Market volatility, as measured by The CBOE Volatility Index...
01|21|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | January 17, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: U.S. Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) (MoM) (Dec) data, which measures inflation less food and energy, rose just 0.2%, the smallest increase since August. Year-over-year,...
01|13|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | January 10, 2025
Unemployment: The labor market showed signs of strength this week. JOLTs job openings (Dec) rose unexpectedly to 8.098M from 7.839M. Nonfarm payrolls (Dec) also beat expectations, increasing to 256K...
01|07|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | January 3, 2025
Manufacturing & Services: ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec) surprised to the upside, rising from 48.4 (Nov) to 49.3, the highest reading since last March. 50 marks expansion/contraction. Be sure to...
12|31|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | December 27, 2024
Unemployment: Jobs data were mixed this week. U.S. Initial Jobless Claims fell from 220K to 219K. Continuing Jobless Claims, however, rose to the highest level in over a year, from...
12|23|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | December 20, 2024
Consumer Goods & Materials: The Core PCE Price Index, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, rose only 0.1% (MoM)(Nov), better than expected. The year-over-year number remained...
12|16|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | December 13, 2024
Consumer Goods & Materials: The Consumer Price Index (CPI)(MoM)(Nov) increased from 0.2% (Oct) to 0.3%, the highest monthly inflation increase since May. The year-over-year number also ticked up, from...
12|09|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | December 6, 2024
Unemployment: U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (Nov) reported 227K jobs added, a large improvement from October’s reading of 36K. The Unemployment Rate ticked up to 4.2%. Employment numbers are a key...
12|02|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | November 29, 2024
Consumer Goods & Materials: The Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Oct) ticked up to 2.8%. The month-over-month reading stayed steady at 0.3%. This is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure...
11|25|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | November 22, 2024
U. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment: Michigan Consumer Sentiment increased to 71.8 (Nov) from 70.5 (Oct), though the rise was less than expected. Be sure to check out more of...