08|11|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | August 8, 2025

Manufacturing & Services: ISM Non-Manufacturing (Services) PMI slowed, missing expectations in July. It remained in expansion territory, however, with a reading of 50.1 (Jul) compared to 50.8 in June....

08|05|2025

Slow Down | August 1, 2025

Markets pushed down on the accelerator in July and set multiple records. Will the pace continue or is there a reduced speed warning ahead? Monday               S&P 500 0.02% |...

08|04|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | August 1, 2025

Unemployment: Labor market data released this week came in softer than expected. Nonfarm Payrolls reported that 73K jobs were added in July, below the 106K expected. Unemployment Rate ticked...

07|28|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | July 25, 2025

Housing and Building: Housing data disappointed this week, as Existing Home Sales fell 2.7% in June (MoM). The annualized number dropped to 3.93M, the lowest level since September 2024....

07|21|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | July 18, 2025

Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Prices rose, but were generally in line with expectations. Consumer Price Index (CPI) (MoM) increased by 0.3% (Jun), up from 0.1% in May. Year-over-year...

07|14|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | July 11, 2025

Yield Curve: Yields ended the week higher, continuing the recent trend upward. 2-year yields rose from 3.88% to 3.90%. 10-year yields increased from 4.35% to 4.43%. Prices & rates...

07|07|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | July 3, 2025

Unemployment: Labor market news was front and center this week. Nonfarm Payrolls beat expectations, rising from 144K (May) to 147K (Jun). JOLTS job openings also outperformed, increasing from 7.395M...

06|30|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | June 27, 2025

Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.2% (MoM)(May), with the annual reading increasing from 2.6% (Apr) to 2.7% (May). Both figures...

06|23|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | June 20, 2025

#retailsales #consumerspending

06|17|2025

Firm Foundation? | June 13, 2025

Markets had a relatively smooth start to the week but finished a bit shaky. Has the foundation been laid for another growth cycle? Monday               S&P 500 0.09% | NASDAQ...