07|28|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | July 25, 2025

Housing and Building: Housing data disappointed this week, as Existing Home Sales fell 2.7% in June (MoM). The annualized number dropped to 3.93M, the lowest level since September 2024....

06|30|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | June 27, 2025

Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.2% (MoM)(May), with the annual reading increasing from 2.6% (Apr) to 2.7% (May). Both figures...

06|02|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | May 30, 2025

Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index settled at 2.5% (YoY)(Apr), the lowest reading since 2021 for the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation. The monthly measurement remained...

05|05|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | May 2, 2025

Unemployment: Jobs data were mixed this week. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 177,000 (Apr), exceeding the 138,000 forecasted. However, JOLTS job openings fell from 7.480M (Feb) to 7.192M (Mar), missing...

03|03|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | February 28, 2025

Consumer Goods & Materials: The Core PCE Price Index (Jan) (MoM) rose 0.3%, as expected. The index increased by 2.6% YoY, the lowest since last July. Core PCE, which...

10|28|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | October 25, 2024

Yield Curve: 2-year yields finished higher this week, rising from 3.95% to 4.11%. 10-year yields also climbed from 4.08% to 4.25%, the highest level since July. Prices & rates...

09|30|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | September 27, 2024

Consumer Goods & Materials: The core PCE price index (less food and energy) rose 0.1% (MoM (Aug), which was slightly lower than expected. Year-over-year, the index rose 2.7% (Aug)....

09|03|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | August 30, 2024

Consumer Goods & Materials: The PCE Price index (YoY) (Jul) stayed steady at 2.5%, and Core PCE (YoY) (Jul) also remained unchanged at 2.6%. Both numbers came in just...