12|01|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | November 28, 2025

Retail Sales: The delayed September Retail Sales report showed an increase of only 0.2% (MoM), which was less than expected following a 0.6% rise in August. It is the...

11|03|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | October 31, 2025

Consumer Confidence: Conference Board (CB) Consumer Confidence fell for the third consecutive month, decreasing from 95.6 (Sep) to 94.6 (Oct). Will consumers’ behavior reflect their sentiment, or will spending...

09|02|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | August 29, 2025

Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index rose 0.3% (MoM)(Jul) for the 2nd month in a row. The annual measure ticked up from 2.8% (Jun) to 2.9% (Jul)....

07|28|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | July 25, 2025

Housing and Building: Housing data disappointed this week, as Existing Home Sales fell 2.7% in June (MoM). The annualized number dropped to 3.93M, the lowest level since September 2024....

06|30|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | June 27, 2025

Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.2% (MoM)(May), with the annual reading increasing from 2.6% (Apr) to 2.7% (May). Both figures...

06|02|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | May 30, 2025

Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index settled at 2.5% (YoY)(Apr), the lowest reading since 2021 for the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation. The monthly measurement remained...

05|05|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | May 2, 2025

Unemployment: Jobs data were mixed this week. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 177,000 (Apr), exceeding the 138,000 forecasted. However, JOLTS job openings fell from 7.480M (Feb) to 7.192M (Mar), missing...

03|03|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | February 28, 2025

Consumer Goods & Materials: The Core PCE Price Index (Jan) (MoM) rose 0.3%, as expected. The index increased by 2.6% YoY, the lowest since last July. Core PCE, which...