10|28|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | October 25, 2024
Yield Curve: 2-year yields finished higher this week, rising from 3.95% to 4.11%. 10-year yields also climbed from 4.08% to 4.25%, the highest level since July. Prices & rates...
09|30|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | September 27, 2024
Consumer Goods & Materials: The core PCE price index (less food and energy) rose 0.1% (MoM (Aug), which was slightly lower than expected. Year-over-year, the index rose 2.7% (Aug)....
09|03|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | August 30, 2024
Consumer Goods & Materials: The PCE Price index (YoY) (Jul) stayed steady at 2.5%, and Core PCE (YoY) (Jul) also remained unchanged at 2.6%. Both numbers came in just...
07|29|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | July 26, 2024
Consumer Goods & Materials: The Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index (MoM)(Jun) increased slightly from 0.1 to 0.2%, meeting expectations. The YoY (Jun) reading held firm at 2.5%....
06|03|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | May 31, 2024
The money supply, including time deposits, rose $26B to $20.867T (Apr) which reflects cash accumulating in money market funds with their attractive yields. Money supply is running 73.8% of...
04|29|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | April 26, 2024
The S&P 500 Index recovered most of the prior week’s losses, rising 132.73 points for the week and closing at 5,099.96 (up 6.92% YTD). The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX)...
04|01|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | March 29, 2024
AUTHOR: Kerry Hilsabeck, CFP® TITLE: Investment Adviser Rep TAGS: Jobs, Prices, Goods, Housing, Building, Yields, Money Supply, S&P 500, Consumer Sentiment Economic data was heavy in a holiday-shortened trading week....
03|04|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | March 1, 2024
AUTHOR: Kerry Hilsabeck, CFP® TITLE: Investment Adviser Rep TAGS: Jobs, PCE, Goods, Housing, Yields, Money Supply, S&P 500, Consumer Sentiment The U. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment fell to 76.9...
01|29|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | January 26, 2024
AUTHOR: Kerry Hilsabeck, CFP® TITLE: Investment Adviser Rep TAGS: Jobs, PCE, GDP, Housing and Building, Yields, M2 Money Supply, S&P 500 Gross Domestic Product (GDP)(QoQ)(Q4) exceeded expectations, rising by...