06|29|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | June 26, 2026
Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index rose 0.3% (MoM)(May). The annual measure increased 3.4%, up from 3.3% in April and the highest level since 2023. Core PCE...
06|08|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | June 5, 2026
Unemployment: Jobs were front and center this week. JOLTS Job Openings beat the forecast, rising from 6.8873 (Mar) to 7.618M (Apr). Nonfarm Payrolls also outperformed, although declining slightly from...
06|01|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | May 29, 2026
Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index continued its upward trend in April, rising 0.2% (MoM). The annual measure increased 3.3%, the highest level since 2023. Core PCE...
05|04|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | May 1, 2026
Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index slowed from 0.4% in February to 0.3% in March (MoM). The annual measure increased 3.2%, which was up from February but...
03|30|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | March 27, 2026
S&P 500: The index declined for the fifth consecutive week, falling 137.63 points to close at 6,368.85 (down 6.96% YTD). The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) rose from 23.8 to...
03|02|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | February 27, 2026
Consumer Goods & Materials: Producer price index (PPI) rose 0.5% in January (MoM), up from 0.4% in December and higher than forecast. Rising wholesale prices are an early signal...
02|02|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | January 30, 2026
Consumer Confidence: CB Consumer Confidence dropped sharply in January, falling from 94.2 (MoM)(Dec) to 84.5, the lowest level since 2014. This reading reflects a decline in consumer confidence in...
12|29|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | December 26, 2025
M2 Money Stock: The money supply held steady at $22.30T (Nov), now roughly 72% of current GDP. Meanwhile, advance GDP growth accelerated from 3.8% in Q2 to 4.3% in...
12|01|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | November 28, 2025
Retail Sales: The delayed September Retail Sales report showed an increase of only 0.2% (MoM), which was less than expected following a 0.6% rise in August. It is the...
11|03|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | October 31, 2025
Consumer Confidence: Conference Board (CB) Consumer Confidence fell for the third consecutive month, decreasing from 95.6 (Sep) to 94.6 (Oct). Will consumers’ behavior reflect their sentiment, or will spending...