09|02|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | August 29, 2025

Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index rose 0.3% (MoM)(Jul) for the 2nd month in a row. The annual measure ticked up from 2.8% (Jun) to 2.9% (Jul)....

08|04|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | August 1, 2025

Unemployment: Labor market data released this week came in softer than expected. Nonfarm Payrolls reported that 73K jobs were added in July, below the 106K expected. Unemployment Rate ticked...

06|30|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | June 27, 2025

Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.2% (MoM)(May), with the annual reading increasing from 2.6% (Apr) to 2.7% (May). Both figures...

06|02|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | May 30, 2025

Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index settled at 2.5% (YoY)(Apr), the lowest reading since 2021 for the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation. The monthly measurement remained...