01|26|2026

Leading Indicator Watch | January 23, 2026

GDP: Economic Growth was front and center this week as Gross Domestic Product (GDP)(Q3) exceeded expectations. It rose by 4.4%, compared to the forecast of 4.3%.  Be sure to...

12|08|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | December 5, 2025

Manufacturing & Services:  ISM Manufacturing PMI slipped from 48.7 (Oct) to 48.2 (Nov), marking a ninth straight month of contraction. Meanwhile, Services PMI inched up from 52.4 to 52.6,...

09|29|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | September 26, 2025

Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index (PCE) rose 0.2% (MoM)(Aug), matching expectations. On a year-over-year basis, inflation held steady at 2.9% (Aug). The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge...

09|02|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | August 29, 2025

Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index rose 0.3% (MoM)(Jul) for the 2nd month in a row. The annual measure ticked up from 2.8% (Jun) to 2.9% (Jul)....

08|04|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | August 1, 2025

Unemployment: Labor market data released this week came in softer than expected. Nonfarm Payrolls reported that 73K jobs were added in July, below the 106K expected. Unemployment Rate ticked...