10|13|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | October 9, 2026
Yield Curve: The yield curve flattened slightly. The 2-year yield fell from 4.83% to 4.80%, The benchmark 10-year yield dropped from 5.28% to 5.24%, though it reached 5.31% on...
09|28|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | September 25, 2026
Manufacturing & Services: S&P Global preliminary Manufacturing PMI numbers project an increase in September from 53.9 (Aug) to 57.0. Non-Manufacturing (Services) PMI is expected to grow from 56.5 (Aug)...
09|08|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | September 4, 2026
Unemployment: Jobs data were front and center this week. JOLTS Job Openings rose from 7.182M (Jun) to 7.271M (Aug). Nonfarm Payrolls jumped from 21K (Jul) to 162K (Aug), beating...
08|25|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | August 21, 2026
Housing and Building: Housing reports released this week indicate continued softness in the sector. Housing Starts were down 12.4% in July (MoM). The annualized number of new residential buildings...
08|10|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | August 7, 2026
Unemployment: Jobs data were front and center this week. Nonfarm Payrolls missed expectations, falling 23K in July. JOLTS Job Openings decreased from 7.537M (May) to 7.359M (Jun), which was...
05|18|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | May 15, 2026
Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Price Index (CPI) continued its upward trend in April, rising 0.6% (MoM). The annual measure increased 3.8%, the highest level since 2023. Producer Price...
05|11|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | May 8, 2026
Unemployment: Jobs were front and center this week. Nonfarm Payrolls rose 115K (MoM)(Apr), for the second consecutive monthly increase. JOLTS Job Openings fell slightly from 6.922M (Feb) to 6.866M...
04|13|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | April 10, 2026
Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.9% (MoM)(Mar), which followed a 0.3% increase in February. The annual measure increased 3.3%, up from a 2.4% reading in February. The increase is...
03|09|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | March 06, 2026
Unemployment: Jobs data were front and center this week. Nonfarm Payrolls fell by 92K in February, reversing a three-month trend of positive job creation. Unemployment Rate ticked up from...
02|10|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | February 6, 2026
Unemployment: Jobs data were front and center this week. Initial Jobless Claims jumped from 209K to 231K. Continuing Jobless Claims rose from 1,819K to 1,844K. JOLTS Job Openings dropped...