08|26|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | August 23, 2024

S&P 500: The S&P 500 rose 80.35 points, closing at 5,634.61 (up 18.13% YTD), largely helped by the Federal Reserve speech on Friday. Market volatility, as measured by The...

08|19|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | August 16, 2024

Retail Sales: Retail Sales (MoM)(Jul) increased 1.0%, beating expectations with the largest monthly increase since February of 2023. This indicates consumer spending and overall economic activity are currently on...

08|05|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | August 2, 2024

Jobs data jolted markets on Friday with the Nonfarm Payrolls (Jul) falling well short of forecasts. Only 114k jobs were added compared to an estimated 176k. The unemployment rate...

07|29|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | July 26, 2024

Consumer Goods & Materials: The Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index (MoM)(Jun) increased slightly from 0.1 to 0.2%, meeting expectations. The YoY (Jun) reading held firm at 2.5%....

07|22|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | July 19, 2024

Our leading indicators this week focused on the S&P 500: The S&P 500 fell by 110.35 points, closing at 5,505.00 (up 15.41% YTD). Market volatility as measured by The...

07|15|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | July 12, 2024

Consumer Goods & Materials: The Consumer Price Index (CPI)(MoM)(Jun) fell 0.1%, the first decline since June 2020. From the consumer’s perspective, prices of goods and services appear to be...

07|08|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | July 5, 2024

Manufacturing & Services: ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Services)(Jun) fell to 48.8 from 53.8 (May), the lowest number since March of 2020. More data may be needed to reveal if this...