Posts Categorized: MARKET THOUGHTS

5.0

Ah, the 5.0, it use to be the status symbol of cool; perhaps somethings never change… With the unemployment rate falling to 5.0% this past Friday, the Federal Reserve Board (FRB) may finally see fit to start raising interest rates. This would imply that the US economy was cool! Bit…
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Baked In

Markets retreated last week, potentially baking in the assumption that the Federal Reserve Board (FRB) will likely increase rates in December. What led to these assumptions? Baking in a Fed Rate Increase Markets broadly retreated after six straight weeks of gains. The broad sell off was initiated by stronger than…
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Inflate This!

Happy Thanksgiving everyone! This is not about footballs! Inflation data over the last week has pointed to an underlying theme of firming prices. US Inflation data came in at a whopping 0.2% year over year for October (Consumer Price Index, CPI) … So where is the inflation pressure? Core CPI,…
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Ready, Set, Shop!

Consumption is up and the holiday season is underway! Now let us hope the markets follow suit… Consumption Conundrum Good news, 3rd quarter GDP was revised up to 2.1% from 1.5%. One of the reasons sighted was consumer spending increasing by 3.0%. Another major factor was inventory build-up, often times…
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ECB vs FRB

Markets received a double dose of bad news on Thursday. The reaction was bad, but the Friday bounce back was epic! Central Banks On Thursday there was news of the European Central Bank (ECB) loosen monetary policy further.  This would typically be information that would be received positively, however it…
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Really, Oil!

Oil prices fell along with the broad markets as concerns over the global economic slowdown persisted. Oil Markets were resilient a week ago Friday in response to OPEC announcing an increase in oil production. That did not prove to be the case as the week turned over and the commodity…
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FRB Gag Gift!

Apparently, the Federal Reserve Board (FRB) has a sense of humor. An interest rate hike right before the holidays… Great! FRB In a very expected move, the FRB increased the federal funds rate to a range of .25% to .50%. Ending a historic run of zero bound interest rates. As…
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Week & Year in Review

Last week was fairly uneventful with markets experiencing light trade as Christmas ended the week. Here is a review of last week’s data as well as a broad look at 2015. Not much happened in 2015: Greece defaults, Plummeting oil prices, China’s softening economy, Iran trade deal, Manufacturing entered contraction,…
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More of The Same?

Happy New Year! The markets ended the year the same way the spent most of it, with a sputter. The Christmas bump occurred, then in light trade the week following saw modest losses. US The S&P 500 lost 0.82% on the week leaving it at -0.73% for the year. The…
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2015 Hangover

The year started with a screaming market… Just screaming in the wrong direction… That screaming has left us looking for some Advil and volatility under 20. US The week began with weak data out of China and falling oil prices. The market response was decidedly bearish as the S&P 500…
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