02|18|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | February 14, 2025

Consumer Goods & Materials: Price data made headlines this past week. U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI)(MoM)(Jan) jumped 0.5%, higher than forecast. The year-over-year number climbed to 3.0%. U.S. Producer...

02|10|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | February 7, 2025

Unemployment: Jobs numbers were a key focus in this week’s economic headlines. Nonfarm payrolls (Jan) indicated the U.S. economy added 143k jobs, fewer than expected. The unemployment rate (Jan)...

02|03|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | January 31, 2025

Consumer Goods & Materials: U.S. Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Dec), the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, ticked up from 0.1% to 0.2%, in line with expectations. Year-over-year, the index...

01|27|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | January 24, 2025

S&P 500: In market news this past week, the S&P 500 rose 104.58 points, closing at 6,101.24 (up 3.73% YTD). Market volatility, as measured by The CBOE Volatility Index...

01|21|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | January 17, 2025

Consumer Goods & Materials: U.S. Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) (MoM) (Dec) data, which measures inflation less food and energy, rose just 0.2%, the smallest increase since August. Year-over-year,...

01|13|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | January 10, 2025

Unemployment: The labor market showed signs of strength this week. JOLTs job openings (Dec) rose unexpectedly to 8.098M from 7.839M. Nonfarm payrolls (Dec) also beat expectations, increasing to 256K...

01|07|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | January 3, 2025

Manufacturing & Services: ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec) surprised to the upside, rising from 48.4 (Nov) to 49.3, the highest reading since last March. 50 marks expansion/contraction. Be sure to...

12|31|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | December 27, 2024

Unemployment: Jobs data were mixed this week. U.S. Initial Jobless Claims fell from 220K to 219K. Continuing Jobless Claims, however, rose to the highest level in over a year, from...

12|23|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | December 20, 2024

Consumer Goods & Materials: The Core PCE Price Index, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, rose only 0.1% (MoM)(Nov), better than expected. The year-over-year number remained...

12|16|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | December 13, 2024

Consumer Goods & Materials: The Consumer Price Index (CPI)(MoM)(Nov) increased from 0.2% (Oct) to 0.3%, the highest monthly inflation increase since May. The year-over-year number also ticked up, from...