09|18|2018
False Hope? | Market Thoughts | September 14, 2018
Favorable data, favorable returns… Globally markets expanded last week giving us reason to be happy. Is it a false hope? Consumer confidence heading into the 4th quarter is the...
09|12|2018
Trip Around the Globe | September 7, 2018
It was a busy week, with data from across the globe impacting markets. Here is a trip around what happened. Tariffs, of course… Tariffs did not happen last week!...
09|05|2018
Life Support | August 31, 2018
The yield curve is on life support and the dynamics that impact it from week to week merit watching! Here is what moved the curve last week. Tariff Talk...
08|29|2018
Shifting the Curve | August 24, 2018
Last week marked a major shift in Federal Reserve Board (FRB) language–a shift that could impact the yield curve and extend this bull market! Week’s News Last week Wednesday...
08|21|2018
Breaking Point | August 17, 2018
Last week, we got inflation and consumer sentiment data; they show conflicting views on the economy. Is there a breaking point coming? Core consumer prices (which strips out fuel...
08|14|2018
European Hot Bed | August 10, 2018
The European Union was a hot bed of risk last week. Are those risks poised to present a problem or opportunity? Turkey has come into focus in the last...
08|08|2018
Running Out of Options? | August 3, 2018
The economic cycle has been running for 112 months, well beyond its 68-month average. Are central banks running out of options to sustain it going forward? For years, the...
08|01|2018
The Path Forward | July 27, 2018
It was a busy week–from corporate earnings to central bank meetings. What moved markets and what leads the path forward? Earnings The most dramatic shift as a result of...
07|24|2018
Happy Birthday, FFS! | July 20, 2018
Happy birthday, FFS! There is plenty going on this past week, with Tariffs, Fed Independence, and corporate earnings… We will get back to reviewing the week’s activity next week,...
07|17|2018
FRB Hangover | July 13, 2018
Man, can the Federal Reserve Board (FRB) throw a hell of a party! 9 years and we are still not feeling the hangover; when will it come? A decade...