09|08|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | September 5, 2025
Unemployment: Jobs were front and center this week, with several indicators pointing to a softer labor market. Nonfarm Payrolls slowed, falling from 79K (July) to 22K (Aug). JOLTS Job...
09|02|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | August 29, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index rose 0.3% (MoM)(Jul) for the 2nd month in a row. The annual measure ticked up from 2.8% (Jun) to 2.9% (Jul)....
08|25|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | August 22, 2025
Unemployment: Jobs data disappointed this week. Initial Jobless Claims rose from 224K to 235K, higher than expected. Continuing Jobless Claims also increased, climbing from 1,942K to 1,972K. Be sure...
08|18|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | August 15, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% (MoM)(Jul). The annual measure was 2.7%. Producer Price Index (PPI) climbed 0.9% (MoM)(Jul), higher than forecast. PPI measures prices...
08|11|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | August 8, 2025
Manufacturing & Services: ISM Non-Manufacturing (Services) PMI slowed, missing expectations in July. It remained in expansion territory, however, with a reading of 50.1 (Jul) compared to 50.8 in June....
08|04|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | August 1, 2025
Unemployment: Labor market data released this week came in softer than expected. Nonfarm Payrolls reported that 73K jobs were added in July, below the 106K expected. Unemployment Rate ticked...
07|28|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | July 25, 2025
Housing and Building: Housing data disappointed this week, as Existing Home Sales fell 2.7% in June (MoM). The annualized number dropped to 3.93M, the lowest level since September 2024....
07|21|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | July 18, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Prices rose, but were generally in line with expectations. Consumer Price Index (CPI) (MoM) increased by 0.3% (Jun), up from 0.1% in May. Year-over-year...
07|14|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | July 11, 2025
Yield Curve: Yields ended the week higher, continuing the recent trend upward. 2-year yields rose from 3.88% to 3.90%. 10-year yields increased from 4.35% to 4.43%. Prices & rates...
07|07|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | July 3, 2025
Unemployment: Labor market news was front and center this week. Nonfarm Payrolls beat expectations, rising from 144K (May) to 147K (Jun). JOLTS job openings also outperformed, increasing from 7.395M...