09|16|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | Septemeber 12, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% (MoM)(Aug), higher than expected. The annual measure ticked up from 2.7% (Jul) to 2.9% (Aug). Producer Price Index (PPI)...
09|02|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | August 29, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index rose 0.3% (MoM)(Jul) for the 2nd month in a row. The annual measure ticked up from 2.8% (Jun) to 2.9% (Jul)....
08|25|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | August 22, 2025
Unemployment: Jobs data disappointed this week. Initial Jobless Claims rose from 224K to 235K, higher than expected. Continuing Jobless Claims also increased, climbing from 1,942K to 1,972K. Be sure...
07|28|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | July 25, 2025
Housing and Building: Housing data disappointed this week, as Existing Home Sales fell 2.7% in June (MoM). The annualized number dropped to 3.93M, the lowest level since September 2024....
06|30|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | June 27, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.2% (MoM)(May), with the annual reading increasing from 2.6% (Apr) to 2.7% (May). Both figures...
06|25|2025
Wild Ride | June 20, 2025
It was a wild ride last week, but markets remained with little change through it all. Will that wild ride continue? Monday S&P 500 0.94% | NASDAQ 1.52% Markets...
06|02|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | May 30, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index settled at 2.5% (YoY)(Apr), the lowest reading since 2021 for the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation. The monthly measurement remained...
05|27|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | May 23, 2025
Yield Curve: Yields ended higher for the 4th straight week. 2-year yields rose from 3.98% to 4.00%. 10-year yields climbed from 4.43% to 4.51%, pushing down the prices of...
05|19|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | May 16, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Price Index (CPI) (MoM)(Apr) rose 0.2%, less than the 0.3% forecast. Year-over-year it rose 2.3%, less than forecast and the lowest reading since February...