12|02|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | November 29, 2024

Consumer Goods & Materials: The Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Oct) ticked up to 2.8%. The month-over-month reading stayed steady at 0.3%. This is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure...

11|25|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | November 22, 2024

U. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment: Michigan Consumer Sentiment increased to 71.8 (Nov) from 70.5 (Oct), though the rise was less than expected.  Be sure to check out more of...

S&P 500

10|28|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | October 25, 2024

Yield Curve: 2-year yields finished higher this week, rising from 3.95% to 4.11%. 10-year yields also climbed from 4.08% to 4.25%, the highest level since July. Prices & rates...

10|21|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | October 18, 2024

Retail Sales: Retail sales picked up during the month of Sep (MoM), increasing from 0.1% to 0.4%. These numbers were slightly better than expected, and positive news for consumer...

09|30|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | September 27, 2024

Consumer Goods & Materials: The core PCE price index (less food and energy) rose 0.1% (MoM (Aug), which was slightly lower than expected. Year-over-year, the index rose 2.7% (Aug)....

09|23|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | September 20, 2024

Consumer Goods & Materials: Retail sales ticked up 0.1% (MoM) (Aug), beating expectations and continuing the positive momentum from previous months.  Be sure to check out more of last...

08|26|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | August 23, 2024

S&P 500: The S&P 500 rose 80.35 points, closing at 5,634.61 (up 18.13% YTD), largely helped by the Federal Reserve speech on Friday. Market volatility, as measured by The...

08|19|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | August 16, 2024

Retail Sales: Retail Sales (MoM)(Jul) increased 1.0%, beating expectations with the largest monthly increase since February of 2023. This indicates consumer spending and overall economic activity are currently on...

07|22|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | July 19, 2024

Our leading indicators this week focused on the S&P 500: The S&P 500 fell by 110.35 points, closing at 5,505.00 (up 15.41% YTD). Market volatility as measured by The...