02|23|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | February 20, 2026
Consumer Goods & Materials: Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index rose 0.4% in January, up from 0.2% in December and higher than forecast. The annual measure increased 3.0%....
02|16|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | Feb. 13, 2026
This week all eyes were on Consumer Goods & Materials. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% in January, down from 0.3% in the previous month. The annual measure increased...
01|26|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | January 23, 2026
GDP: Economic Growth was front and center this week as Gross Domestic Product (GDP)(Q3) exceeded expectations. It rose by 4.4%, compared to the forecast of 4.3%. Be sure to...
01|21|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | January 16, 2026
Consumer Goods & Materials: The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.3% (MoM) in December. The annual measure was up 2.7%. Both increases mirrored the numbers in November. Producer Price...
01|05|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | January 02, 2026
Housing and Building: Pending Home Sales rose 3.3% in November (MoM), which was the third consecutive increase in the number of homes under contract to be sold. Be sure...
12|22|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | December 19, 2025
Unemployment: Jobs data took center stage last week with the release of both October and November Nonfarm Payroll reports. Payrolls fell by 105K (Oct), then rebounded modestly with a...
11|24|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | November 21, 2025
Unemployment: Jobs data were mixed last week, with the delayed release of the September report yielding an increase in Nonfarm Payrolls from -4K (Aug) to 119K (Sep). The Unemployment...
11|17|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | November 14, 2025
S&P 500: The S&P 500 rose 5.31 points this week, closing at 6,734.11 (up 14.49% YTD). The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) held steady at 21.2. Overall market performance was...
11|03|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | October 31, 2025
Consumer Confidence: Conference Board (CB) Consumer Confidence fell for the third consecutive month, decreasing from 95.6 (Sep) to 94.6 (Oct). Will consumers’ behavior reflect their sentiment, or will spending...
09|29|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | September 26, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index (PCE) rose 0.2% (MoM)(Aug), matching expectations. On a year-over-year basis, inflation held steady at 2.9% (Aug). The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge...