02|03|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | January 31, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: U.S. Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Dec), the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, ticked up from 0.1% to 0.2%, in line with expectations. Year-over-year, the index...
01|27|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | January 24, 2025
S&P 500: In market news this past week, the S&P 500 rose 104.58 points, closing at 6,101.24 (up 3.73% YTD). Market volatility, as measured by The CBOE Volatility Index...
12|31|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | December 27, 2024
Unemployment: Jobs data were mixed this week. U.S. Initial Jobless Claims fell from 220K to 219K. Continuing Jobless Claims, however, rose to the highest level in over a year, from...
12|02|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | November 29, 2024
Consumer Goods & Materials: The Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Oct) ticked up to 2.8%. The month-over-month reading stayed steady at 0.3%. This is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure...
11|25|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | November 22, 2024
U. of Michigan Consumer Sentiment: Michigan Consumer Sentiment increased to 71.8 (Nov) from 70.5 (Oct), though the rise was less than expected. Be sure to check out more of...
10|28|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | October 25, 2024
Yield Curve: 2-year yields finished higher this week, rising from 3.95% to 4.11%. 10-year yields also climbed from 4.08% to 4.25%, the highest level since July. Prices & rates...
10|21|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | October 18, 2024
Retail Sales: Retail sales picked up during the month of Sep (MoM), increasing from 0.1% to 0.4%. These numbers were slightly better than expected, and positive news for consumer...
09|30|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | September 27, 2024
Consumer Goods & Materials: The core PCE price index (less food and energy) rose 0.1% (MoM (Aug), which was slightly lower than expected. Year-over-year, the index rose 2.7% (Aug)....
09|23|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | September 20, 2024
Consumer Goods & Materials: Retail sales ticked up 0.1% (MoM) (Aug), beating expectations and continuing the positive momentum from previous months. Be sure to check out more of last...
08|26|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | August 23, 2024
S&P 500: The S&P 500 rose 80.35 points, closing at 5,634.61 (up 18.13% YTD), largely helped by the Federal Reserve speech on Friday. Market volatility, as measured by The...