06|30|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | June 27, 2025

Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.2% (MoM)(May), with the annual reading increasing from 2.6% (Apr) to 2.7% (May). Both figures...

06|23|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | June 20, 2025

#retailsales #consumerspending

06|17|2025

Firm Foundation? | June 13, 2025

Markets had a relatively smooth start to the week but finished a bit shaky. Has the foundation been laid for another growth cycle? Monday               S&P 500 0.09% | NASDAQ...

06|16|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | June 13, 2025

Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.1% (MoM)(May), with the annual reading increasing from 2.3% (Apr) to 2.4% (May), which was better than expected. Producer Price...

06|10|2025

Ride the Wave | June 6, 2025

The tide shifted in favor of equities again this week. Will markets continue to ride the wave? MondayS&P 500 0.41%| NASDAQ 0.67% ____We kicked off the month with Manufacturing...

06|09|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | June 6, 2025

Unemployment: Nonfarm Payrolls declined from 147K (Apr) to 139K (May), but were higher than forecast. The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2% for the third consecutive month, indicating resilience...

06|02|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | May 30, 2025

Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index settled at 2.5% (YoY)(Apr), the lowest reading since 2021 for the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation. The monthly measurement remained...

05|27|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | May 23, 2025

Yield Curve: Yields ended higher for the 4th straight week. 2-year yields rose from 3.98% to 4.00%. 10-year yields climbed from 4.43% to 4.51%, pushing down the prices of...

05|19|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | May 16, 2025

Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Price Index (CPI) (MoM)(Apr) rose 0.2%, less than the 0.3% forecast. Year-over-year it rose 2.3%, less than forecast and the lowest reading since February...

05|12|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | May 9, 2025

Manufacturing & Services: ISM Non-Manufacturing (Services) PMI increased to 51.6 (Apr) from 50.8 (Mar), exceeding expectations. April marked the 10th consecutive month of expansion for the sector. 50 marks...