03|09|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | March 06, 2026
Unemployment: Jobs data were front and center this week. Nonfarm Payrolls fell by 92K in February, reversing a three-month trend of positive job creation. Unemployment Rate ticked up from...
02|10|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | February 6, 2026
Unemployment: Jobs data were front and center this week. Initial Jobless Claims jumped from 209K to 231K. Continuing Jobless Claims rose from 1,819K to 1,844K. JOLTS Job Openings dropped...
01|13|2026
Leading Indicator Watch | January 09, 2026
Unemployment: Jobs were front and center this week. Nonfarm Payrolls showed an increase of only 50K jobs (Dec), missing the forecast. JOLTS Job Openings fell from 7.449M (Oct) to...
12|09|2025
Fed Decision in Focus | December 5, 2025
It was all about the economy this last week. That really means the Fed decision on December 10th was in focus. Monday S&P 500 0.53% | NASDAQ 0.38% US...
12|08|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | December 5, 2025
Manufacturing & Services: ISM Manufacturing PMI slipped from 48.7 (Oct) to 48.2 (Nov), marking a ninth straight month of contraction. Meanwhile, Services PMI inched up from 52.4 to 52.6,...
11|10|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | Nov. 7, 2025
Indicators show ISM Manufacturing PMI fell from 49.1 (Sep) to 48.7 (Oct) contracting for the eighth consecutive month while Non-Manufacturing (Services) PMI climbed from 50.0 (Sep) to 52.4 (Oct)....
10|06|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | October 3, 2025
Unemployment: Jobs data were incomplete this week due to the government shutdown. The Nonfarm payrolls report (Sep) wasn’t released on Friday as the result of impacts at Bureau of...
09|08|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | September 5, 2025
Unemployment: Jobs were front and center this week, with several indicators pointing to a softer labor market. Nonfarm Payrolls slowed, falling from 79K (July) to 22K (Aug). JOLTS Job...
08|04|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | August 1, 2025
Unemployment: Labor market data released this week came in softer than expected. Nonfarm Payrolls reported that 73K jobs were added in July, below the 106K expected. Unemployment Rate ticked...
07|07|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | July 3, 2025
Unemployment: Labor market news was front and center this week. Nonfarm Payrolls beat expectations, rising from 144K (May) to 147K (Jun). JOLTS job openings also outperformed, increasing from 7.395M...