10|06|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | October 3, 2025
Unemployment: Jobs data were incomplete this week due to the government shutdown. The Nonfarm payrolls report (Sep) wasn’t released on Friday as the result of impacts at Bureau of...
09|08|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | September 5, 2025
Unemployment: Jobs were front and center this week, with several indicators pointing to a softer labor market. Nonfarm Payrolls slowed, falling from 79K (July) to 22K (Aug). JOLTS Job...
08|04|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | August 1, 2025
Unemployment: Labor market data released this week came in softer than expected. Nonfarm Payrolls reported that 73K jobs were added in July, below the 106K expected. Unemployment Rate ticked...
07|07|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | July 3, 2025
Unemployment: Labor market news was front and center this week. Nonfarm Payrolls beat expectations, rising from 144K (May) to 147K (Jun). JOLTS job openings also outperformed, increasing from 7.395M...
06|10|2025
Ride the Wave | June 6, 2025
The tide shifted in favor of equities again this week. Will markets continue to ride the wave? MondayS&P 500 0.41%| NASDAQ 0.67% ____We kicked off the month with Manufacturing...
06|09|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | June 6, 2025
Unemployment: Nonfarm Payrolls declined from 147K (Apr) to 139K (May), but were higher than forecast. The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2% for the third consecutive month, indicating resilience...
05|28|2025
Rising Temps | May 23, 2025
Markets pulled back this week. Will seasonal optimism and trends buoy markets for now? Monday S&P 500 0.09% | NASDAQ 0.02% Following a positive week for markets on the...
05|05|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | May 2, 2025
Unemployment: Jobs data were mixed this week. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 177,000 (Apr), exceeding the 138,000 forecasted. However, JOLTS job openings fell from 7.480M (Feb) to 7.192M (Mar), missing...
04|07|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | April 4, 2025
S&P 500: The S&P 500 declined by 506.86 points last week, closing at 5,074.08 and bringing its YTD return to -13.73%. This marked the index’s sharpest weekly pullback in...
03|10|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | March 7, 2025
Manufacturing & Services: February’s ISM data showed a divergence between sectors. Manufacturing PMI decreased from 50.9 to 50.3. Non-Manufacturing (Services) PMI rose from 52.8 to 53.5. 50 marks contraction/expansion. Be...