04|07|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | April 4, 2025
S&P 500: The S&P 500 declined by 506.86 points last week, closing at 5,074.08 and bringing its YTD return to -13.73%. This marked the index’s sharpest weekly pullback in...
03|10|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | March 7, 2025
Manufacturing & Services: February’s ISM data showed a divergence between sectors. Manufacturing PMI decreased from 50.9 to 50.3. Non-Manufacturing (Services) PMI rose from 52.8 to 53.5. 50 marks contraction/expansion. Be...
02|11|2025
Not so fast | February 7, 2025
Markets digested corporate earnings this week and lost more ground following last week’s fall. Can markets continue at a sprint or will it begin to slow down the pace?...
01|07|2025
Pop the Bubbly? | January 3, 2025
Markets finished the year higher, but growth faded for the month of December. Will the New Year continue to prosper markets or should we temper our expectations? Monday S&P...
01|07|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | January 3, 2025
Manufacturing & Services: ISM Manufacturing PMI (Dec) surprised to the upside, rising from 48.4 (Nov) to 49.3, the highest reading since last March. 50 marks expansion/contraction. Be sure to...
12|09|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | December 6, 2024
Unemployment: U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (Nov) reported 227K jobs added, a large improvement from October’s reading of 36K. The Unemployment Rate ticked up to 4.2%. Employment numbers are a key...
11|04|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | November 1, 2024
Unemployment: Nonfarm payrolls measured only 12K jobs added in October, far below expectations and the lowest number in nearly four years. There is speculation that the poor reading was...
10|07|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | October 4, 2024
Unemployment: Nonfarm payrolls (September) forecast was estimated at 159K, but actual numbers came in at 254K, the highest since April. The unemployment rate (Sep) decreased from 4.2% in August to...
09|09|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | September 6, 2024
Unemployment: The labor market showed signs of softening this week. JOLTS Job Openings (Jul) fell to 7.673M, the fewest since April of 2021. Nonfarm Payrolls added 142k jobs, lower than...