06|09|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | June 6, 2025

Unemployment: Nonfarm Payrolls declined from 147K (Apr) to 139K (May), but were higher than forecast. The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2% for the third consecutive month, indicating resilience...

05|28|2025

Rising Temps | May 23, 2025

Markets pulled back this week. Will seasonal optimism and trends buoy markets for now? Monday               S&P 500 0.09% | NASDAQ 0.02% Following a positive week for markets on the...

05|05|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | May 2, 2025

Unemployment: Jobs data were mixed this week. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 177,000 (Apr), exceeding the 138,000 forecasted. However, JOLTS job openings fell from 7.480M (Feb) to 7.192M (Mar), missing...

04|07|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | April 4, 2025

S&P 500: The S&P 500 declined by 506.86 points last week, closing at 5,074.08 and bringing its YTD return to -13.73%. This marked the index’s sharpest weekly pullback in...

03|10|2025

Leading Indicator Watch | March 7, 2025

Manufacturing & Services: February’s ISM data showed a divergence between sectors. Manufacturing PMI decreased from 50.9 to 50.3. Non-Manufacturing (Services) PMI rose from 52.8 to 53.5. 50 marks contraction/expansion. Be...