11|12|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | November 8, 2024

S&P 500: The S&P 500 jumped 266.74 points, closing at 5,995.54 (up 25.70% YTD) with its best weekly performance since November of 2023. Market volatility, as measured by The CBOE...

11|04|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | November 1, 2024

Unemployment: Nonfarm payrolls measured only 12K jobs added in October, far below expectations and the lowest number in nearly four years. There is speculation that the poor reading was...

S&P 500

10|28|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | October 25, 2024

Yield Curve: 2-year yields finished higher this week, rising from 3.95% to 4.11%. 10-year yields also climbed from 4.08% to 4.25%, the highest level since July. Prices & rates...

10|21|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | October 18, 2024

Retail Sales: Retail sales picked up during the month of Sep (MoM), increasing from 0.1% to 0.4%. These numbers were slightly better than expected, and positive news for consumer...

10|15|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | October 11, 2024

Consumer Goods & Materials: The Consumer Price Index (CPI) (MoM) (Sep) came in slightly higher than expected at 0.2%. The year-over-year number also missed expectations with a reading of...

10|07|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | October 4, 2024

Unemployment: Nonfarm payrolls (September) forecast was estimated at 159K, but actual numbers came in at 254K, the highest since April. The unemployment rate (Sep) decreased from 4.2% in August to...

09|30|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | September 27, 2024

Consumer Goods & Materials: The core PCE price index (less food and energy) rose 0.1% (MoM (Aug), which was slightly lower than expected. Year-over-year, the index rose 2.7% (Aug)....

09|23|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | September 20, 2024

Consumer Goods & Materials: Retail sales ticked up 0.1% (MoM) (Aug), beating expectations and continuing the positive momentum from previous months.  Be sure to check out more of last...

09|16|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | September 13, 2024

Consumer Goods & Materials: The Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) (YoY) (Aug) rose 3.2%. CPI (YoY) (Aug) increased 2.5%, the lowest level for headline inflation since March of 2021....

09|09|2024

Leading Indicator Watch | September 6, 2024

Unemployment: The labor market showed signs of softening this week. JOLTS Job Openings (Jul) fell to 7.673M, the fewest since April of 2021. Nonfarm Payrolls added 142k jobs, lower than...