09|09|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | September 6, 2024
Unemployment: The labor market showed signs of softening this week. JOLTS Job Openings (Jul) fell to 7.673M, the fewest since April of 2021. Nonfarm Payrolls added 142k jobs, lower than...
09|03|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | August 30, 2024
Consumer Goods & Materials: The PCE Price index (YoY) (Jul) stayed steady at 2.5%, and Core PCE (YoY) (Jul) also remained unchanged at 2.6%. Both numbers came in just...
08|26|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | August 23, 2024
S&P 500: The S&P 500 rose 80.35 points, closing at 5,634.61 (up 18.13% YTD), largely helped by the Federal Reserve speech on Friday. Market volatility, as measured by The...
08|19|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | August 16, 2024
Retail Sales: Retail Sales (MoM)(Jul) increased 1.0%, beating expectations with the largest monthly increase since February of 2023. This indicates consumer spending and overall economic activity are currently on...
08|05|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | August 2, 2024
Jobs data jolted markets on Friday with the Nonfarm Payrolls (Jul) falling well short of forecasts. Only 114k jobs were added compared to an estimated 176k. The unemployment rate...
07|29|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | July 26, 2024
Consumer Goods & Materials: The Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index (MoM)(Jun) increased slightly from 0.1 to 0.2%, meeting expectations. The YoY (Jun) reading held firm at 2.5%....
07|22|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | July 19, 2024
Our leading indicators this week focused on the S&P 500: The S&P 500 fell by 110.35 points, closing at 5,505.00 (up 15.41% YTD). Market volatility as measured by The...
07|15|2024
Leading Indicator Watch | July 12, 2024
Consumer Goods & Materials: The Consumer Price Index (CPI)(MoM)(Jun) fell 0.1%, the first decline since June 2020. From the consumer’s perspective, prices of goods and services appear to be...