05|19|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | May 16, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Price Index (CPI) (MoM)(Apr) rose 0.2%, less than the 0.3% forecast. Year-over-year it rose 2.3%, less than forecast and the lowest reading since February...
05|19|2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Price Index (CPI) (MoM)(Apr) rose 0.2%, less than the 0.3% forecast. Year-over-year it rose 2.3%, less than forecast and the lowest reading since February...
05|12|2025
Manufacturing & Services: ISM Non-Manufacturing (Services) PMI increased to 51.6 (Apr) from 50.8 (Mar), exceeding expectations. April marked the 10th consecutive month of expansion for the sector. 50 marks...
05|07|2025
Monthly numbers for the stock market did not prove as bad as the intra-month swings. Digging into the monitor data, can we glean the path ahead? Fixed Income: 2-Yr...
05|05|2025
Unemployment: Jobs data were mixed this week. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 177,000 (Apr), exceeding the 138,000 forecasted. However, JOLTS job openings fell from 7.480M (Feb) to 7.192M (Mar), missing...
04|30|2025
Markets popped the confetti this week. Is the hype with merit or is it too early to celebrate? Monday S&P 500 2.36% | NASDAQ 2.55% In an otherwise uneventful...
04|28|2025
Housing and Building: Existing Home Sales declined to 4.02M (Mar) from 4.27M (Feb), reflecting a month-over-month drop of 5.9%. Building permits increased from 1.459M (Feb) to 1.467M (Mar), but...
04|22|2025
Trading was less volatile this week but fell lower. Are markets becoming more patient or are they just taking a breather? Monday S&P 500 0.79% | NASDAQ 0.64% Trading...
04|21|2025
Retail Sales: Retail Sales (MoM)(Mar) jumped 1.4%, the largest monthly increase since January 2023. Core Retail Sales (MoM)(Mar) were also positive, though the increase was a more modest 0.5...
04|15|2025
There were some bright spots for markets this week but not without their share of volatility. Are there more storms brewing or will there be some daylight soon? ` Monday ...
04|14|2025
In reviwing Core Consumer Prices (excluding volatile food and energy), they rose just 0.1% in March which were below expectations and the smallest monthly increase since June 2024. On...