06|16|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | June 13, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.1% (MoM)(May), with the annual reading increasing from 2.3% (Apr) to 2.4% (May), which was better than expected. Producer Price...
06|09|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | June 6, 2025
Unemployment: Nonfarm Payrolls declined from 147K (Apr) to 139K (May), but were higher than forecast. The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2% for the third consecutive month, indicating resilience...
06|04|2025
Monthly Market Monitor | May – 2025
Monitoring equity markets this last month was easy as things climbed, The Fixed Income market was a bit different. What does it mean for the remainder of the year?...
06|02|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | May 30, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Core PCE Price Index settled at 2.5% (YoY)(Apr), the lowest reading since 2021 for the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation. The monthly measurement remained...
05|27|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | May 23, 2025
Yield Curve: Yields ended higher for the 4th straight week. 2-year yields rose from 3.98% to 4.00%. 10-year yields climbed from 4.43% to 4.51%, pushing down the prices of...
05|19|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | May 16, 2025
Consumer Goods & Materials: Consumer Price Index (CPI) (MoM)(Apr) rose 0.2%, less than the 0.3% forecast. Year-over-year it rose 2.3%, less than forecast and the lowest reading since February...
05|12|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | May 9, 2025
Manufacturing & Services: ISM Non-Manufacturing (Services) PMI increased to 51.6 (Apr) from 50.8 (Mar), exceeding expectations. April marked the 10th consecutive month of expansion for the sector. 50 marks...
05|07|2025
Monthly Market Monitor | April-2025
Monthly numbers for the stock market did not prove as bad as the intra-month swings. Digging into the monitor data, can we glean the path ahead? Fixed Income: 2-Yr...
05|05|2025
Leading Indicator Watch | May 2, 2025
Unemployment: Jobs data were mixed this week. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 177,000 (Apr), exceeding the 138,000 forecasted. However, JOLTS job openings fell from 7.480M (Feb) to 7.192M (Mar), missing...
04|30|2025
Time to Celebrate? | April 25, 2025
Markets popped the confetti this week. Is the hype with merit or is it too early to celebrate? Monday S&P 500 2.36% | NASDAQ 2.55% In an otherwise uneventful...